Elections analyst Nate Silver accused pollsters of putting their “f*cking finger on the scale” and “lying” in an episode of his Risky Business podcast on Thursday, arguing that they are shaping their results in presidential election polls to look like other pollsters’.
Asked by co-host Maria Konnikova to sum up what his models are projecting and whether there’s movement in the polls, Silver submitted that “it’s basically 55-45, Trump” — meaning that former President Donald Trump has a 55% chance and Kamala Harris has a 45% chance of winning the presidential election — “or 54-45 with a small chance of a tie.”
“It’s been a little weird. I mean, look, it’s gradually drifted to Trump over actually a fairly long period now. I mean, you know, two out of every three days, Harris has lost ground in the forecast since since roughly early October. You know, it looks like it’s stabilized a bit, maybe. I don’t …